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No. 17 Michigan at No. 8 Michigan State Prediction: Odds, Expert Picks, Betting Trends and Stats


The highlight of today’s Big Ten men’s basketball schedule is a matchup between the Michigan Wolverines (22-8, 14-5) and the Spartans of Michigan State (25-5, 16-3) in East Lansing, MI.

These teams met earlier this season in Ann Arbor back on February 21 with Sparty prevailing 75-62. Jase Richardson scored 21 to pace the Spartans’ attack.

That win pulled Michigan State into a tie atop the Big Ten. The Wolverines have lost twice more since while the Spartans have remained letter perfect. The result is an eleventh regular season Big Ten title for Tom Izzo.

Today is about getting right for Michigan and staying right for Michigan State.

Lets dive into the matchup and offer some information and possibly a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch the opening tip, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Game details & how to watch Michigan and Michigan State

  • Date: Sunday, March 9, 2025

  • Time: 12:00PM EST

  • Site: Jack Breslin Students Events Center

  • City: East Lansing, MI

  • Network/Streaming: CBS

Never miss a second of the action and stay up to date with all the latest scores and player news. Check out our day-by-day NCAA Basketball Schedule Page that includes live game updates.

Game odds for Wolverines at Spartans

The latest odds as of Sunday courtesy of BetMGM:

Expert picks & predictions for Michigan at Michigan State

NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) expects the home team to cover the number: Michigan State Spartans -7.5
“That’s six straight covers for the Spartans where the Wolverines have lost two straight and failed to cover three consecutive games and four of the past five. They are simply not playing well and when they win, it’s by a slim margin. I was on MSU the first meeting and while the spread went from Michigan -2.5 in the first matchup to MSU being what I would expect at least a five-point favorite here, I still think the Spartans are the right side and think the motivation for sweeping your rival at home is enough with that defense.”

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NCAA calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, injuries, and the schedule.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Wolverines & Spartans game:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.

  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Michigan State Spartans -7.5.

  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Game Total of 146.5.

Michigan at Michigan State: Top betting trends and recent stats

  • Michigan State has won 6 in a row at home against Michigan

  • Each of the last 3 games between Michigan and Michigan State has stayed under the Total

  • Sparty is 4-1 against the spread in its last 5 at home

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NCAA Basketball Top Trends Tool on NBCSports.com!

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
· Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
· Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
· Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
· Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)





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